1. Philadelphia Eagles (1-0): The Eagles are the defending Super Bowl champions, and they won their regular season opener against the Cowboys, so they get the top spot. They will need to play better in Week 2 on the road against a tough opponent. Next: -1.5 at Kansas City Chiefs – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 48.7%
2. Buffalo Bills (1-0): The Bills have won five consecutive AFC East division titles and after Week 1 they are all alone in first place in the AFC East after coming from 15 points down in the final four minutes to beat the Ravens, 41-40. In an interesting parallel, the 1976 Oakland Raiders in their opening game came from 14 down in the final three minutes to beat the Steelers, 31-28 in Oakland. The Raiders went on to win their first Super Bowl. Could this win lead to the Bills first Super Bowl win? Next: -6.5 at New York Jets – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 79.2%
3. Los Angeles Chargers (1-0): The Chargers beat the Chiefs on Friday Night in Brazil in one of the biggest regular season wins ever for the franchise. If they want to get beyond the first round in the playoffs, they have to win the AFC West and beating the Chiefs, winners of nine consecutive AFC West titles, was a very good start. Next: -3 vs Las Vegas Raiders – Mon, Sep. 15 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 73.1%
4. Green Bay Packers (1-0): The Packers looked good in their impressive victory over the Lions. The roster is loaded and the addition of star pass rusher Micah Parsons in a trade with the Cowboys has made the Packers a solid contender for the Super Bowl. Next: -3.5 vs Washington Commanders – Thu, Sep. 11 – O/U: 48.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 66.9%
5. Los Angeles Rams (1-0): The Rams defeated the Texans in defensive battle on Sunday at SoFi Stadium. Linebacker Nate Landman had 10 tackles and a key forced fumble that was recovered by Braden Fiske at the Rams 24-yard line, clinching the victory. Next: -5.5 at Tennessee Titans – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 41.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 63.8%
6. Washington Commanders (1-0): Rookie running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushed for 82 yards and a touchdown to help the Commanders defeat the Giants, 21-6. Croskey-Merritt looked good in training camp, and he may be one of the reasons the Commanders traded running back Brian Robinson Jr. to the 49ers. Next: +3.5 at Green Bay Packers – Thu, Sep. 11 – O/U: 48.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 33.1%
7. Baltimore Ravens (0-1): The Ravens had a 15-point lead with four minutes remaining in the game with the Bills and somehow managed to lose to the Bills in the opener, 41-40. A very tough way to start the season. The Ravens have had some defensive issues over the past few seasons that they still have not resolved. Next: -11.5 vs Cleveland Browns – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U 44.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 90.0%
8. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0): Quarterback Aaron Rodgers looked like the four-time MVP on Sunday in leading the Steelers to a thrilling 34-32 win over the Jets, his team from last season. Rodgers threw four touchdown passes in the game and afterwards said of the Jets organization, “I was happy to beat everybody associated with the Jets.” This season with the Steelers should be very entertaining. Next: -3 vs Seattle Seahawks – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 39.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 58.6%
9. Kansas City Chiefs (0-1): The Chiefs have won nine consecutive AFC West division titles, but they are currently in last place in the AFC West after losing to the Chargers in Brazil. With the Chargers, Broncos, and Raiders all looking better, this may finally be the year that the Chiefs division winning streak comes to an end. Next: +1.5 vs Philadelphia Eagles – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 51.3%
10. Denver Broncos (1-0): The Broncos held on for a tough home win over the Titans, 20-12. The Broncos are a playoff contender and a good defensive team, so it is probably wise to not read too much into their first game performance on offense. It is still early, and they got the victory. Next: -1.5 at Indianapolis Colts – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 42.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 59.6%
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0): The Buccaneers have on four consecutive NFC South division titles and after Week 1 are all alone in first place in the NFC South, beating the Falcons 23-20. Quarterback Baker Mayfield threw three touchdown passes, two to rookie wide receiver Emeka Egbuka. Next: +2.5 at Houston Texans – Mon, Sep. 15 – O/U: 42.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 46.1%
12. Indianapolis Colts (1-0): The Colts have a nice young roster, and it showed in a dominant 33-8 win over the Dolphins. Former UCLA star Laiatu Latu had his first career interception in the game and quarterback Daniel Jones, in his first start with Colts, completed 22 of 29 passes for 272 yards and three touchdowns. Next: +1.5 vs Denver Broncos – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 42.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 40.4%
13. Minnesota Vikings (1-0): Quarterback J.J. McCarthey, after struggling for three quarters, became Joe Montana in the fourth quarter, leading the Vikings on three touchdown scoring drives to lead the Vikings to a 27-24 win over the Bears in Chicago. Next: -3.5 vs Atlanta Falcons – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 63.1%
14. San Francisco 49ers (1-0): The 49ers beat the Seahawks in Seattle, 17-13, an important division win as they battle to re-take the NFC West from the Rams. Wide receiver Ricky Pearsall had 4 catches for 108 yards and Christian McCaffrey had 9 receptions for 73 yards. Kicker Jake Moody, who missed a short field-goal attempt and had another blocked in Sunday’s win, was waived on Monday. Next: -3 at New Orleans Saints – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 40.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 69.3%
15. Las Vegas Raiders (1-0): The Raiders opened up the season with an impressive win under new head coach Pete Carroll, beating the Patriots on the road, 20-13. Quarterback Geno Smith completed 24 of 34 passes for 362 yards and one touchdown in leading the Raiders to victory. Next: +3 at Los Angeles Chargers – Mon, Sep. 15 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 26.9%
16. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0): Running back Travis Etienne Jr. rushed for 143 yards on 16 carries to lead the Jaguars to an easy 26-10 win over the Panthers. If the Jags are running the ball well, with the young talent they have at wide receiver in Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, they could be a tough team to beat and a team to watch out for. Next: +3.5 at Cincinnati Bengals – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 48.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 29.2%
17. Arizona Cardinals (1-0): Remember when Kyler Murray was the first pick in the 2019 NFL draft? Murray led the Cardinals to a victory on Sunday over the Saints on the road, completing 21 of 29 passes for 163 yards and two touchdown passes, adding 38 rushing yards. Murray has the offensive talent around him to have a very good season. Will he get there? Next: -6.5 vs Carolina Panthers – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 82.9%
18. Atlanta Falcons (0-1): Kicker Younghoe Koo missed a 44-yard field goal attempt with six seconds remaining in the game that would have tied the score, costing the Falcons the opportunity to send the game against the Bucs in overtime and giving them a 0-1 start to their season. Quarterback Michael Peniz threw for 298 yards and a touchdown in the home loss. Next: +3.5 at Minnesota Vikings – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 35.9%
19. Houston Texans (0-1): The Texans lost a defensive battle on Sunday, 14 to 9 to the Rams. Former UCLA kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn connected on three field goals of 45, 51, and 53 yards, but they needed more production from the offense and quarterback C.J. Stroud. The Texans have won back-to-back AFC South division titles, but the improved Colts and the ascending Jaguars may deny the Texans a third consecutive division title. Next: -2.5 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Mon, Sep. 15 – O/U 42.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 53.9%
20. Seattle Seahawks (0-1): The Seahawks fell to the 49ers on Sunday, on a four-yard touchdown pass from quarterback Brock Purdy to tight end Jake Tonges with 1:34 remaining in the game, 17-13. Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 9 receptions for 124 yards but it was not enough to overcome the tough 49ers defense. Next: +3 at Pittsburgh Steelers – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 39.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 41.4%
21. Cincinnati Bengals (1-0): The Bengals stole a win in Cleveland on Sunday. The Browns outgained the Bengals in total yardage, 327-141. The Browns had two turnovers, a missed field goal, and a missed extra point, giving the Bengals the gift of an opening day victory. Next: -3.5 vs Jacksonville Jaguars – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U 48.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 70.8%
22. Dallas Cowboys (0-1): The Cowboys were competitive in their 24-20 loss to the Eagles. Otherwise, the Cowboys are an enigma, from the management performance off the field to player performance on the field. You never know what you are going to get, but it won’t be an NFC Conference Championship game, where they have not appeared since 1995. Next: -4.5 vs New York Giants – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 71.1%
23. Detroit Lions (0-1): The Lions looked really bad in their Hall of Fame game against the Chargers and may be that should have been a sign of trouble ahead. Against the Packers in Green Bay, the Lions were dominated in a 27-13 loss. The loss of both coordinators in the offseason seems to be having an impact. Next: -76 vs Chicago Bears – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 74.9%
24. New York Jets (0-1): The Jets looked good in their first game with head coach Aaron Glenn and quarterback Justin Fields but still found a way to lose. Fields threw for 218 yards and a touchdown, adding 48 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. The Jets have talent on their roster and the team has a shot at a playoff berth if Glenn can keep them playing consistently on offense. Next: +6.5 vs Buffalo Bills – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 20.8%
25. Tennessee Titans (0-1): Four Joey Slye field goals were enough to hang with the Broncos, but ultimately not enough to beat the Broncos in a 20-12 loss in Denver. Rookie quarterback Cameron Ward drew a tough assignment for his first NFL game. This week’s opponent will not be any easier, but at least he will be at home. Next: +5.5 vs Los Angeles Rams – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 41.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 36.2%
26. New Orleans Saints (0-1): Kellen Moore, coming off a very successful 2024 season as the Eagles offensive coordinator, is the new head coach with the Saints. His first game did not go well in a 20-13 loss to the Cardinals. Quarterback Spencer Rattler threw 46 passes and that is too many for the Saints to have success. Next: +3 vs San Francisco 49ers – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 40.5 (ATS: 2-0 – O/U: 2-0) Win probability: 30.7%
27. Chicago Bears (0-1): The Bears lost a tough game at home to the Vikings. Quarterback Caleb Williams still holds on to the ball to long and missed some big play opportunities in the Monday Night game. He needs to improve for the Bears to have any hopes for a postseason appearance. Next: +6 at Detroit Lions – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 1-0) Win probability: 25.1%
28. Cleveland Browns (0-1): The Browns played very well on defense in their opener, holding the high-powered Bengals offense to 141 yards in offense, including just 7 yards in the second half. Unfortunately, rookie field goal kicker Andre Szymt missed a 36-yard field goal attempt and an extra point in the 17-16 loss. Next: +11.5 at Baltimore Ravens – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 1-0 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 10.0%
29. Miami Dolphins (0-1): The Dolphins looked like the worst team in the NFL on Sunday or the Colts are much better than we thought after they pounded the Fish, 33-8. Star wide receiver Tyreek Hill is unhappy and head coach Mike McDaniel looks like he may be in his last season with the Dolphins. Next: -1.5 vs New England Patriots – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 43.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 53.9%
30. New York Giants (0-1): Quarterback Russell Wilson is the interim starter with the Giants, and he did not look like he was going to be a starter much longer. In a 21-6 loss to the Commanders, Wilson looked mediocre at best, and it may make sense to go to rookie Jaxson Dart, the Giants first round pick in 2025. Dart is the future, and the future should be now. Next: +4.5 at Dallas Cowboys – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 28.9%
31. Carolina Panthers (0-1): The Panthers did not look good in their opening day 26-10 loss to the Jaguars in Jacksonville. Quarterback Bryce Young only threw for 154 yards and had two passes intercepted in the loss. It could be another long season in Carolina. Next: +6.5 at Arizona Cardinals – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 17.1%
32. New England Patriots (0-1): The Patriots got embarrassed by the Chargers, 40-7 in their final game of the 2024 regular season. The Pats looked somewhat better in a 20-13 loss to the Raiders on Sunday, but they struggled on offense and gave up 362 yards passing to Raiders quarterback Geno Smith. The Pats are at least a year away from contending for a playoff berth. Next: +1.5 at Miami Dolphins – Sun, Sep. 14 – O/U: 43.5 (ATS: 0-1 – O/U: 0-1) Win probability: 46.1%